Monte Carlo simulation of load profiles for low-voltage electricity distribution grid asset planning

W. Du, P.W.G. Bots, J.G. Slootweg

Onderzoeksoutput: Hoofdstuk in Boek/Rapport/CongresprocedureConferentiebijdrageProfessioneel

4 Downloads (Pure)

Samenvatting

This paper presents a Monte Carlo simulation method for generating stochastic load profiles for models of low voltage (LV) electricity grids to support middle- and long-term strategic asset planning processes. Models that calculate aggregated loads in a deterministic way using a coincidence coefficient (simultaneity factor) do not give insight in the probability of an overload and eventual asset failure. Analysis of minute-to-minute load data obtained with Monte Carlo simulation, based on the characteristics and behaviour patterns of different household types, can provide more accurate probabilities of peak loads, especially for subordinate grids where individual consumption ehaviours have relatively high impacts. Calculating this indicator for different future scenarios can help improve LV distribution grid capacity planning down to the component level.
Originele taal-2Engels
TitelProceedings of the 21st International Conference on Electricity Distribution (CIRED2011), 6-9 June 2011, Frankfurt, Germany
Plaats van productiePiscataway
UitgeverijCIRED
Pagina's1-4
StatusGepubliceerd - 2011
Evenement21st International Conference and Exhibition on Electricity Distribution (CIRED 2011) - Frankfurt, Duitsland
Duur: 6 jun 20119 jun 2011
Congresnummer: 21

Congres

Congres21st International Conference and Exhibition on Electricity Distribution (CIRED 2011)
Verkorte titelCIRED 2011
Land/RegioDuitsland
StadFrankfurt
Periode6/06/119/06/11
Ander21st International Conference and Exhibition on Electricity Distribution (CIRED 2011)

Vingerafdruk

Duik in de onderzoeksthema's van 'Monte Carlo simulation of load profiles for low-voltage electricity distribution grid asset planning'. Samen vormen ze een unieke vingerafdruk.

Citeer dit