Microsimulation model of activity-travel patterns and traffic flows : specification, validation tests, and Monte Carlo error

Discussed are results pertaining to the application of the Ramblas microsimulation model to predict activity-travel patterns and traffic flows. The validity of the model, which is deliberately based on nationally available time use data, is tested using different national, provincial, and regional data sets. In addition, an analysis of Monte Carlo error is performed. The results of the analyses indicate that the microsimulation model is capable of successfully predicting regional aggregate activity patterns on the basis of a simple set of principles and that the influence of Monte Carlo error on the aggregate results is negligible.