A fuzzy model of a European index based on automatically extracted content information

D.V. Milea, R.J. Almeida, U. Kaymak, F. Frasincar

Onderzoeksoutput: Hoofdstuk in Boek/Rapport/CongresprocedureConferentiebijdrageAcademicpeer review

2 Citaten (Scopus)

Samenvatting

In this paper we build on previous work related to predicting the MSCI EURO index based on content analysis of ECB statements. Our focus is on reducing the number of features employed for prediction through feature selection. For this purpose we rely on two methodologies: (stepwise) linear regression and greedy forward feature subset selection. The original dataset consists of 13 features (General Inquirer content categories). Both methodologies provide an improvement in the overall accuracy of the model, while reducing the number of features employed. Through linear regression we achieve an accuracy of 67.58% on the testing set by relying on six features, while greedy forward selection enables an accuracy on the test set of 69.50% while relying on eight features.
Originele taal-2Engels
TitelProceedings of the 2011 IEEE Symposium on Computational Intelligence for Financial Engineering & Economics (CIFEr 2011), April 11-15, 2011, Paris, France
Plaats van productiePiscataway, USA
UitgeverijInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
Pagina's140-147
ISBN van geprinte versie978-1-4244-9934-2
DOI's
StatusGepubliceerd - 2011
Evenementconference; 2011 IEEE Symposium on Computational Intelligence for Financial Engineering & Economics (CIFEr 2011); 2011-04-11; 2011-04-15 -
Duur: 11 apr. 201115 apr. 2011

Congres

Congresconference; 2011 IEEE Symposium on Computational Intelligence for Financial Engineering & Economics (CIFEr 2011); 2011-04-11; 2011-04-15
Periode11/04/1115/04/11
Ander2011 IEEE Symposium on Computational Intelligence for Financial Engineering & Economics (CIFEr 2011)

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