A data-based reduced-order model for dynamic simulation and control of district-heating networks

This study concerns the development of a data-based compact model for the prediction of the fluid temperature evolution in district heating (DH) pipeline networks. This so-called “reduced-order model” (ROM) is obtained from reduction of the conservation law for energy for each pipe segment to a semi-analytical input–output relation between the pipe outlet temperature and the pipe inlet and ground temperatures that can be identified from training data. The ROM basically is valid for generic pipe configurations involving 3D unsteady heat transfer and 3D steady flow as long as heat-transfer mechanisms are linearly dependent on the temperature field. Moreover, the training data can be generated by physics-based computational “full-order” models (FOMs) yet also by (calibration) experiments or field measurements. Performance tests using computational training data for a single-pipe configuration demonstrate that the ROM (i) can be successfully identified and (ii) can accurately describe the response of the outlet temperature to arbitrary input profiles for inlet and ground temperatures. Application of the ROM to two case studies, i.e. fast simulation of a small DH network and design of a controller for user-defined temperature regulation of a DH system, demonstrate its predictive ability and efficiency also for realistic systems. Dedicated cost analyses further reveal that the ROM may significantly reduce the computational costs compared to FOMs by (up to) orders of magnitude for higher-dimensional pipe configurations. These findings advance the proposed ROM as a robust and efficient simulation tool for practical DH systems with a far greater predictive ability than existing compact models.