A Bayes-competing risk model for the use of expert judgement in reliability estimation

F.P.A. Coolen, P.R. Mertens, M.J. Newby

Onderzoeksoutput: Bijdrage aan tijdschriftTijdschriftartikelAcademicpeer review

8 Citaten (Scopus)
69 Downloads (Pure)

Samenvatting

In an analysis of the reliability of heat exchangers, a number of causes of failure and a number of potential failure patterns were identified. To allow a simplification of the analysis, five independent groups of failure causes were defined and formed the basis of a competing risks model. Further, lack of data and poor quality data required the experience of ‘experts’ to be used in a quantitative way through Bayesian methods. Lastly, to simplify the elicitation of the prior densities, a shape, scale and location parameter model for the failure time distributions was adopted.
Originele taal-2Engels
Pagina's (van-tot)23-30
TijdschriftReliability Engineering and System Safety
Volume35
Nummer van het tijdschrift1
DOI's
StatusGepubliceerd - 1992

Vingerafdruk Duik in de onderzoeksthema's van 'A Bayes-competing risk model for the use of expert judgement in reliability estimation'. Samen vormen ze een unieke vingerafdruk.

Citeer dit