TY - JOUR
T1 - Uncertainty in travel demand forecasting models : literature review and research agenda
AU - Rasouli, S.
AU - Timmermans, H.J.P.
PY - 2012
Y1 - 2012
N2 - Reasoning why uncertainty analysis will become important in years to come, this paper reviews prior work on uncertainty analysis in travel demand forecasting. Different sources of uncertainty are discussed. Studies examining these various sources of uncertainty are summarized, differentiating between four step models, discrete choice models and activity-based models of travel demand. Next, gaps in the literature and avenues of future research are systematically discussed, with a special focus on complex activity-based models. The paper is completed with some concluding comments
AB - Reasoning why uncertainty analysis will become important in years to come, this paper reviews prior work on uncertainty analysis in travel demand forecasting. Different sources of uncertainty are discussed. Studies examining these various sources of uncertainty are summarized, differentiating between four step models, discrete choice models and activity-based models of travel demand. Next, gaps in the literature and avenues of future research are systematically discussed, with a special focus on complex activity-based models. The paper is completed with some concluding comments
U2 - 10.3328/TL.2012.04.01.55-73
DO - 10.3328/TL.2012.04.01.55-73
M3 - Article
SN - 1942-7867
VL - 4
SP - 55
EP - 73
JO - Transportation Letters
JF - Transportation Letters
IS - 1
ER -