Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis for detailed design support

C.J. Hopfe, J.L.M. Hensen, W. Plokker

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionAcademicpeer-review

16 Citations (Scopus)
160 Downloads (Pure)


Nowadays, building performance simulation (BPS) is still primarily used for code compliance checking in the Netherlands whilst it could provide the user already useful design information by e.g. indicating design solutions or introducing uncertainty analysis (UA) and sensitivity analysis (SA). This paper summarizes results from an ongoing research introducing UA and SA in BPS. A case study is performed based on a hypothetical building which is part of an international test method for assessing the accuracy of BPS tools with respect to various building performance parameters. SA is accomplished via a freeware tool called Simlab. This is used as a pre- and postprocessor for the BPS software VA114. The SA is based on seven different input parameters, covering different categories like uncertainties in physical and design parameters as well as in boundary conditions. The sample matrix for the different input was generated with the Latin hypercube method. Results considering energy consumption (annual heating and cooling, peak loads) and thermal comfort (weight over- and underheating hours) are compared. The paper will finish with indicating how this research will be proceeded.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 10th IBPSA Building Simulation Conference, Tsinghua University, Beijing. September 2007
EditorsYi Jiang
PublisherInternational Building Performance Simulation Association (IBPSA)
Publication statusPublished - 2007
Event10th International IBPSA Building Simulation Conference (BS 2007), September 3-6, 2007, Beijing, China - Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
Duration: 3 Sep 20076 Sep 2007


Conference10th International IBPSA Building Simulation Conference (BS 2007), September 3-6, 2007, Beijing, China
Abbreviated titleBS 2007


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