Supporting risk-informed decisions during business process execution

R. Conforti, M. Leoni, de, M. La Rosa, W.M.P. Aalst, van der

Research output: Book/ReportReportAcademic


This paper proposes a technique that supports process participants in making risk-informed decisions, with the aim to reduce the process risks. Risk reduction involves decreasing the likelihood and severity of a process fault from occurring. Given a process exposed to risks, e.g. a ¿nancial process exposed to a risk of reputation loss, we enact this process and whenever a process participant needs to provide input to the process, e.g. by selecting the next task to execute or by ¿lling out a form, we prompt the participant with the expected risk that a given fault will occur given the particular input. These risks are predicted by traversing decision trees generated from the logs of past process executions and considering process data, involved resources, task durations and contextual information like task frequencies. The approach has been implemented in the YAWL system and its effectiveness evaluated. The results show that the process instances executed in the tests complete with substantially fewer faults and with lower fault severities, when taking into account the recommendations provided by our technique.
Original languageEnglish
PublisherBPMcenter. org
Number of pages15
Publication statusPublished - 2012

Publication series

NameBPM reports


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