Study and analysis on EVs penetration scenarios based in prognostic tools

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

European policy on reducing greenhouse gas emissions can be particularly supported by Electric Vehicles' market penetration in the following years. This paper overviews the so far penetration of the Electric Vehicles Technology in Europe and at the same time aims to provide an estimation about the future penetration based on appropriate prognostic tools. For this reason, the authors analyze the so far statistical data of the Electric Vehicles sales and use both the linear regression and Brown method to estimate their foreseen market penetration within the next decades. The results of this study can provide an insight about the future of Electric Vehicles penetration and their potential contribution in climate change mitigation and ancillary services to the grid. This study results, foresee that CO2 emissions reduction lie between 5% and 9, 53% by the year 2030 compared to the base year 2017. These results imply that further policy measures and incentives need to be given for supporting Electric Vehicles further in the next years to follow.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationTechnologies and Materials for Renewable Energy, Environment and Sustainability, TMREES 2019
EditorsAuday Hattem Shaban, Chafic-Touma Salame, Michel Aillerie, Panagiotis Papageorgas
PublisherAmerican Institute of Physics
ISBN (Electronic)978-0-7354-1863-9
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 17 Jul 2019
Externally publishedYes
Event2019 Technologies and Materials for Renewable Energy, Environment and Sustainability, TMREES 2019 - Beirut, Lebanon
Duration: 10 Apr 201912 Apr 2019

Publication series

NameAIP Conference Proceedings
Volume2123
ISSN (Print)0094-243X
ISSN (Electronic)1551-7616

Conference

Conference2019 Technologies and Materials for Renewable Energy, Environment and Sustainability, TMREES 2019
Country/TerritoryLebanon
CityBeirut
Period10/04/1912/04/19

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 13 - Climate Action
    SDG 13 Climate Action

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