Abstract
The law wants to determine if any party involved in a car crash is guilty. The Dutch court invokes the expertise of the Netherlands Forensic Institute (NFI) to answer this question. We discuss the present method of the NFI to determine probabilities on pre-impact car velocities, given the evidence from the crash scene. A disadvantage of this method is that it requires a prior distribution on the velocities of the cars involved in the crash. We suggest a different approach, that of statistical significance testing, which can be carried out without a prior. We explain this method, and apply it to a toy model. Finally, a sensitivity analysis is performed on a simple two-car collision model.
Original language | English |
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Title of host publication | Proceedings of the Seventy-ninth European Study Group with Industry : VU University Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 24-28 January, 2011 |
Editors | B. Planque, S. Bhulai, J. Hulshof, W. Kager, T. Rot |
Place of Publication | Amsterdam |
Publisher | VU University |
Pages | 133-148 |
Publication status | Published - 2011 |
Event | 79th European Study Group with Industry, January 24-28, 2011, Amsterdam, The Netherlands - Amsterdam, Netherlands Duration: 24 Jan 2011 → 28 Jan 2011 |
Conference
Conference | 79th European Study Group with Industry, January 24-28, 2011, Amsterdam, The Netherlands |
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Country/Territory | Netherlands |
City | Amsterdam |
Period | 24/01/11 → 28/01/11 |
Other | European Study Group with Industry |