Severe testing of climate change hypotheses

J.K. Katzav

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

6 Citations (Scopus)
24 Downloads (Pure)


I examine, from Mayo's severe testing perspective, the case found in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change fourth report (IPCC-AR4) for the claim (OUR FAULT) that increases in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations caused most of the post-1950 global warming. My examination begins to provide an alternative to standard, probabilistic assessments of OUR FAULT. It also brings out some of the limitations of variety of evidence considerations in assessing this and other hypotheses about the causes of climate change, and illuminates the epistemology of optimal fingerprinting studies. Finally, it shows that some features of Mayo's perspective should be kept in whatever approach is preferred for assessing hypotheses about the causes of climate change.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)433-441
Number of pages9
JournalStudies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics
Issue number4
Publication statusPublished - 2013


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