Abstract
The future is uncertain and forecasting it is difficult. Yet to implement energy policies aimed at sustainable development, it is imperative to determine future energy scenarios. This requires forecasting the development of all relevant generation technologies, including the conversion efficiency of solar photovoltaics. Using historical data, a proven development formula and data on the lag between lab and market, efficiency projections up to 2050 are made for c-Si, CdTe, CIGS, 3- and 4 junction, perovskite, and quantum dot solar cells. The projected efficiencies of the first three, older technologies do not change significantly. The last four, newer technologies could make great leaps in efficiency and increase their market potential, if R&D efforts continue.
Original language | English |
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Title of host publication | 2018 IEEE International Energy Conference, ENERGYCON 2018 |
Place of Publication | Piscataway |
Publisher | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers |
Pages | 1-6 |
Number of pages | 6 |
ISBN (Electronic) | 9781538636695 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 27 Jun 2018 |
Event | 2018 IEEE International Energy Conference, EnergyCon 2018 - Limassol, Cyprus Duration: 3 Jun 2018 → 7 Jun 2018 http://www.energycon2018.org/ |
Conference
Conference | 2018 IEEE International Energy Conference, EnergyCon 2018 |
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Abbreviated title | Energycon 2018 |
Country/Territory | Cyprus |
City | Limassol |
Period | 3/06/18 → 7/06/18 |
Internet address |