Projecting solar photovoltaic efficiencies from lab to market

I. van Beuzekom; B.-M. Hodge; J.G. Slootweg

doi:10.1109/ENERGYCON.2018.8398813

Projecting solar photovoltaic efficiencies from lab to market

I. van Beuzekom, B.-M. Hodge, J.G. Slootweg

Electrical Energy Systems

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › Academic › peer-review

4 Citations (Scopus)

1 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

The future is uncertain and forecasting it is difficult. Yet to implement energy policies aimed at sustainable development, it is imperative to determine future energy scenarios. This requires forecasting the development of all relevant generation technologies, including the conversion efficiency of solar photovoltaics. Using historical data, a proven development formula and data on the lag between lab and market, efficiency projections up to 2050 are made for c-Si, CdTe, CIGS, 3- and 4 junction, perovskite, and quantum dot solar cells. The projected efficiencies of the first three, older technologies do not change significantly. The last four, newer technologies could make great leaps in efficiency and increase their market potential, if R&D efforts continue.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	2018 IEEE International Energy Conference, ENERGYCON 2018
Place of Publication	Piscataway
Publisher	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
Pages	1-6
Number of pages	6
ISBN (Electronic)	9781538636695
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1109/ENERGYCON.2018.8398813
Publication status	Published - 27 Jun 2018
Event	2018 IEEE International Energy Conference, EnergyCon 2018 - Limassol, Cyprus Duration: 3 Jun 2018 → 7 Jun 2018 http://www.energycon2018.org/

Conference

Conference	2018 IEEE International Energy Conference, EnergyCon 2018
Abbreviated title	Energycon 2018
Country/Territory	Cyprus
City	Limassol
Period	3/06/18 → 7/06/18
Internet address	http://www.energycon2018.org/

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.1109/ENERGYCON.2018.8398813

Cite this

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title = "Projecting solar photovoltaic efficiencies from lab to market",

abstract = "The future is uncertain and forecasting it is difficult. Yet to implement energy policies aimed at sustainable development, it is imperative to determine future energy scenarios. This requires forecasting the development of all relevant generation technologies, including the conversion efficiency of solar photovoltaics. Using historical data, a proven development formula and data on the lag between lab and market, efficiency projections up to 2050 are made for c-Si, CdTe, CIGS, 3- and 4 junction, perovskite, and quantum dot solar cells. The projected efficiencies of the first three, older technologies do not change significantly. The last four, newer technologies could make great leaps in efficiency and increase their market potential, if R&D efforts continue.",

author = "{van Beuzekom}, I. and B.-M. Hodge and J.G. Slootweg",

year = "2018",

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doi = "10.1109/ENERGYCON.2018.8398813",

language = "English",

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note = "2018 IEEE International Energy Conference, EnergyCon 2018, Energycon 2018 ; Conference date: 03-06-2018 Through 07-06-2018",

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}

van Beuzekom, I, Hodge, B-M & Slootweg, JG 2018, Projecting solar photovoltaic efficiencies from lab to market. in 2018 IEEE International Energy Conference, ENERGYCON 2018. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Piscataway, pp. 1-6, 2018 IEEE International Energy Conference, EnergyCon 2018, Limassol, Cyprus, 3/06/18. https://doi.org/10.1109/ENERGYCON.2018.8398813

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N2 - The future is uncertain and forecasting it is difficult. Yet to implement energy policies aimed at sustainable development, it is imperative to determine future energy scenarios. This requires forecasting the development of all relevant generation technologies, including the conversion efficiency of solar photovoltaics. Using historical data, a proven development formula and data on the lag between lab and market, efficiency projections up to 2050 are made for c-Si, CdTe, CIGS, 3- and 4 junction, perovskite, and quantum dot solar cells. The projected efficiencies of the first three, older technologies do not change significantly. The last four, newer technologies could make great leaps in efficiency and increase their market potential, if R&D efforts continue.

AB - The future is uncertain and forecasting it is difficult. Yet to implement energy policies aimed at sustainable development, it is imperative to determine future energy scenarios. This requires forecasting the development of all relevant generation technologies, including the conversion efficiency of solar photovoltaics. Using historical data, a proven development formula and data on the lag between lab and market, efficiency projections up to 2050 are made for c-Si, CdTe, CIGS, 3- and 4 junction, perovskite, and quantum dot solar cells. The projected efficiencies of the first three, older technologies do not change significantly. The last four, newer technologies could make great leaps in efficiency and increase their market potential, if R&D efforts continue.

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M3 - Conference contribution

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SP - 1

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BT - 2018 IEEE International Energy Conference, ENERGYCON 2018

PB - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers

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T2 - 2018 IEEE International Energy Conference, EnergyCon 2018

Y2 - 3 June 2018 through 7 June 2018

ER -

Projecting solar photovoltaic efficiencies from lab to market

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