TY - JOUR
T1 - Non-linearity and expectations in niche-development trajectories : ups and downs in Dutch biogas development (1973-2003)
AU - Geels, F.W.
AU - Raven, R.P.J.M.
PY - 2006
Y1 - 2006
N2 - Non-linearity and changes in the direction of technological trajectories, are related to changes in cognitive rules and expectations that guide technical search and development activities. To explain such changes, the article uses the literature on niche development, which highlights interactions between learning processes, network building and expectations. A long-term case study on Dutch biogas development illustrates how these interactions explain non-linearity, but the case study also shows the importance of external regime dynamics. It is concluded that non-linearity and changes in niche expectations are related to both internal learning processes and external developments.
AB - Non-linearity and changes in the direction of technological trajectories, are related to changes in cognitive rules and expectations that guide technical search and development activities. To explain such changes, the article uses the literature on niche development, which highlights interactions between learning processes, network building and expectations. A long-term case study on Dutch biogas development illustrates how these interactions explain non-linearity, but the case study also shows the importance of external regime dynamics. It is concluded that non-linearity and changes in niche expectations are related to both internal learning processes and external developments.
U2 - 10.1080/09537320600777143
DO - 10.1080/09537320600777143
M3 - Article
SN - 0953-7325
VL - 18
SP - 375
EP - 392
JO - Technology Analysis and Strategic Management
JF - Technology Analysis and Strategic Management
IS - 3/4
ER -