Modelling the dynamics of technological innovation systems

B. Walrave, R.P.J.M. Raven

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

96 Citations (Scopus)
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Currently there is no formal model describing the dynamics of technological innovation systems. This paper develops a system dynamics model that integrates the concept of ‘motors of innovation’, following the literature on emerging technological innovation systems, with the notion of ‘transition pathways’ that was developed as part of the multi-level-framework thinking. As such, the main contribution of this paper is a cross-over of two key-frameworks into a system dynamics model that can serve as underpinning for future research. The model’s behaviour is illustrated by means of analyses of TIS dynamics in the context of different transition pathways, under different resourcing conditions. The paper also provides a future research agenda, pursuable by means of experimentation and/or further development of the presented model.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1833-1844
Number of pages12
JournalResearch Policy
Issue number9
Early online date4 Jun 2016
Publication statusPublished - 2016


  • Technological innovation systems
  • Multi-level perspective
  • System dynamics model
  • Sustainability transitions


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