Modeling the impact of key events on long-term transport mode choice decisions : a decision network approach using event history data

M. Verhoeven, T.A. Arentze, H.J.P. Timmermans, P.J.H.J. Waerden, van der

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Abstract

This paper describes the first phase of a study of the impact of key events on long-term transport mode choice decisions. The suggested complexity of transport mode choice is modeled using a Bayesian Decision Network (BDN). An Internet-based questionnaire was designed to measure the various Conditional Probability Tables and the Conditional Utility Tables of the BDN. In total seven different key events were implemented in the questionnaire: Change in residential location, Change in household composition, Change in work location, Change in study location, Change in car availability, Change in availability of public transport pass, and Change in household income. The data of 554 respondents was used to illustrate how the tables can be constructed based on event history data.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 84th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington DC
Place of PublicationWashington
PublisherTransportation Research Board
Publication statusPublished - 2005

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