Local forecasting could identify future lowvoltage bottlenecks

Part of the energy transition will take place in residential areas. In order to investigate the decisions consumers have to make in the coming decade and their consequences, a forecasting model is designed. By using characteristics of the environment, a mix of energy systems for a complete neighbourhood is calculated. The corresponding low-voltage (LV) network is analysed by performing capacity calculations with the forecasted mix as input. From the case study on a typical neighbourhood, it becomes clear that bottlenecks can be expected in typical LV networks in the coming decades. By using scenarios, the outcomes are given for multiple projected futures.