Initial infrastructure development strategies for the transition to sustainable mobility

Floris J. Huétink, A. (Alexander) van der Vooren, Floortje Alkemade

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

47 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Within the Dutch transition policy framework, the transition to hydrogen-based transport is seen as a promising option towards a sustainable transport system. One aspect of such transition processes that is emphasized in transition management is learning about user behaviour and preferences. However, while earlier research on sustainable mobility acknowledges the importance of refuelling infrastructure, the question of how to unroll such an infrastructure and the role of user practices and user behaviour largely remains unanswered. In this paper we present an agent-based model to study the process of development from niche to market for hydrogen vehicles. We thereby focus on the role of users in this process and support our model by empirical data. Within this model the effects of different strategies for hydrogen infrastructure development on hydrogen vehicle fleet penetration are studied. More specifically, diffusion patterns for hydrogen vehicles are created through the interactions of consumers, refuelling stations and technological learning. The main result is that social network effects do influence the technological trajectory of hydrogen vehicles and thus should be taken into account by infrastructure developers and policymakers.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1270-1281
Number of pages12
JournalTechnological Forecasting and Social Change
Volume77
Issue number8
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Oct 2010
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Agent-based modeling
  • Hydrogen
  • Infrastructure development
  • Technological change

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