Information-seeking polynomial NARX model-predictive control through expected free energy minimization

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Abstract

We propose an adaptive model-predictive controller that balances driving the system to a goal state and seeking system observations that are informative with respect to the parameters of a nonlinear autoregressive exogenous model. The controller's objective function is derived from an expected free energy functional and contains information-theoretic terms expressing uncertainty over model parameters and output predictions. Experiments demonstrate that the proposed controller dynamically balances information-seeking and goal-seeking behaviour based on parameter uncertainty.
Original languageEnglish
Article number10373893
Pages (from-to)37-42
Number of pages6
JournalIEEE Control Systems Letters
Volume8
Early online date25 Dec 2023
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2024

Keywords

  • Bayesian inference
  • Free energy minimization
  • Adaptive control
  • System identification
  • Adaptation models
  • Uncertainty
  • Estimation
  • Predictive models
  • Minimization
  • free energy minimization
  • Bayes methods
  • system identification
  • Information theory

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