Identifying and predicting economic regimes in supply chains using sales and procurement information

F.P. Hogenboom, W. Ketter, Jan Dalen, van, U. Kaymak, J. Collins, Alok Gupta

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionAcademicpeer-review

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Abstract

We investigate the effects of adding procurement information (component offer prices) to a sales-based economic regime model, which is used for strategic, tactical, and operational decision making in dynamic supply chains. The performance of the regime model is evaluated through experiments with the MinneTAC trading agent, which competes in the TAC SCM game. We find that the new regime model has a similar overall predictive performance as the existing model. Regime switches are predicted more accurately, whereas the prediction accuracy of dominant regimes is slightly worse. However, by adding procurement information, we have enriched the model and we have further opportunities for applications in the procurement market, such as procurement reserve pricing.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 11th international conference on electronic commerce (ICEC 2009), August 12 - 15, 2009 , Taipei, Taiwan
Place of PublicationTaipei, Taiwan
PublisherAssociation for Computing Machinery, Inc
Pages19-28
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2009
Event8th International Conference on Entertainment Computing - Paris, France
Duration: 3 Sept 20095 Sept 2009

Conference

Conference8th International Conference on Entertainment Computing
Abbreviated titleICEC 2009
Country/TerritoryFrance
CityParis
Period3/09/095/09/09

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