Failed technology futures: pitfalls and lessons from a historical survey

F.W. Geels, W.A. Smit

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

    132 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    Images of the future, with hindsight, turn out to be either right or wrong. In this article, past images of the impact of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) on traffic and transportation are investigated. Informed by the field of technology studies, seven key features are formulated that point at pitfalls and neglected aspects in many future expectations on technological developments and their societal impact. It is also argued that the evolution from broad sweeping promises to more down-to-earth assessments is inherent in technological developments, because expectations and diffuse scenarios also play a performative role in technological developments.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)867-885
    JournalFutures
    Volume32
    Issue number9-10
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2000

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