Explainable Machine Learning Based Prediction of Severity of Heart Failure Using Primary Electronic Health Records

Rajarajeswari Ganesan (Corresponding author), Simon C. Habraken, Frans N. van de Vosse, Wouter Huberts

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Abstract

Heart Failure (HF) is a life-threatening condition. It affects more than 64 million people worldwide. Early diagnosis of HF is extremely crucial. In this study, we propose utilization of machine learning (ML) models to predict severity of HF from primary Electronic Health Records (EHRs). We used a public dataset of 2008 HF patients for the study. Gaussian Naive Bayes, Random Forest and CatBoost methods were used for prediction. The study shows that CatBoost works best for the goal. In addition to that, the largest contributors for tree-based models harmonize well with clinically important parameters, which exhibits the trustworthiness of these models. Hence, we conclude that utilization of ML methods on primary EHRs is a promising step for time-efficient diagnosis of HF patients.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationDigital Health and Informatics Innovations for Sustainable Health Care Systems
Subtitle of host publicationProceedings of MIE 2024
EditorsJohn Mantas, Arie Hasman, George Demiris, Kaija Saranto, Michael Marschollek, Theodoros N. Arvanitis, Ivana Ognjanović, Arriel Benis, Parisis Gallos, Emmanouil Zoulias, Elisavet Andrikopoulou
PublisherIOS Press
Pages542-546
Number of pages5
ISBN (Electronic)978-1-64368-533-5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 22 Aug 2024
Event34th Medical Informatics Europe Conference, MIE 2024 - Athens, Greece
Duration: 25 Aug 202429 Aug 2024

Publication series

NameStudies in Health Technology and Informatics
Volume316
ISSN (Print)0926-9630
ISSN (Electronic)1879-8365

Conference

Conference34th Medical Informatics Europe Conference, MIE 2024
Country/TerritoryGreece
CityAthens
Period25/08/2429/08/24

Keywords

  • Explainable AI
  • Heart Failure
  • Machine Learning
  • Primary Electronic Health Records
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Heart Failure/diagnosis
  • Diagnosis, Computer-Assisted
  • Humans
  • Bayes Theorem
  • Electronic Health Records

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