Estimating PV Curtailed Power as a Voltage Support Service using Data-Driven Approaches

To guarantee a successful deployment of a droop-based control strategy to mitigate overvoltage problems caused by solar photovoltaic (PV) generation, Distribution System Operators (DSOs) will need to estimate the amount of active power curtailed by the PV inverters for billing purposes. This paper provides a structural elaboration on the development of data-driven approaches in Python to estimate the PV curtailed power as a provision of voltage support services by residential users using droop-based voltage control strategies. The use of the total input data, available for a DSO, would be impractical for an all-regression approach for the estimation of the PV curtailed power. Since in the majority of the data no active power is curtailed, the data-driven models would in this case partly be trained and fitted for situations where there is no active power curtailment. The regression models for the curtailed power prediction are therefore preceded by a classification model. The developed combined classification-regression model was able to estimate the PV curtailed power with an error of less than 4%, for test data from the network on which the model was trained.