TY - JOUR
T1 - Bi‐objective optimization of a stochastic resilient vaccine distribution network in the context of the COVID‐19 pandemic
AU - Mohammadi, Mehrdad
AU - Dehghan, Milad
AU - Pirayesh, Amir
AU - Dolgui, Alexandre
PY - 2022/12
Y1 - 2022/12
N2 - This paper develops an approach to optimize a vaccine distribution network design through a mixed-integer nonlinear programming model with two objectives: minimizing the total expected number of deaths among the population and minimizing the total distribution cost of the vaccination campaign. Additionally, we assume that a set of input parameters (e.g., death rate, social contacts, vaccine supply, etc.) is uncertain, and the distribution network is exposed to disruptions. We then investigate the resilience of the distribution network through a scenario-based robust-stochastic optimization approach. The proposed model is linearized and finally validated through a real case study of the COVID-19 vaccination campaign in France. We show that the current vaccination strategies are not optimal, and vaccination prioritization among the population and the equity of vaccine distribution depend on other factors than those conceived by health policymakers. Furthermore, we demonstrate that a vaccination strategy mixing the population prioritization and the quarantine restrictions leads to an 8.5% decrease in the total number of deaths.
AB - This paper develops an approach to optimize a vaccine distribution network design through a mixed-integer nonlinear programming model with two objectives: minimizing the total expected number of deaths among the population and minimizing the total distribution cost of the vaccination campaign. Additionally, we assume that a set of input parameters (e.g., death rate, social contacts, vaccine supply, etc.) is uncertain, and the distribution network is exposed to disruptions. We then investigate the resilience of the distribution network through a scenario-based robust-stochastic optimization approach. The proposed model is linearized and finally validated through a real case study of the COVID-19 vaccination campaign in France. We show that the current vaccination strategies are not optimal, and vaccination prioritization among the population and the equity of vaccine distribution depend on other factors than those conceived by health policymakers. Furthermore, we demonstrate that a vaccination strategy mixing the population prioritization and the quarantine restrictions leads to an 8.5% decrease in the total number of deaths.
KW - Bi-objective mathematical optimization model
KW - COVID-19
KW - Disruption
KW - Robust-stochastic optimization
KW - Uncertainty
KW - Vaccine distribution network
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85135508907&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.omega.2022.102725
DO - 10.1016/j.omega.2022.102725
M3 - Article
C2 - 35915776
AN - SCOPUS:85135508907
SN - 0305-0483
VL - 113
JO - Omega : The International Journal of Management Science
JF - Omega : The International Journal of Management Science
M1 - 102725
ER -