A multi-level model of emerging technology: An empirical study of the evolution of biotechnology from 1976 to 2003

A. van den Oord, Arjen van Witteloostuijn

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    Abstract

    In this paper, we develop an ecological, multi-level model that can be used to study the evolution of emerging technology. More specifically, by defining technology as a system composed of a set of interacting components, we can build upon the argument of multi-level density dependence from organizational ecology to develop a distribution-independent model of technological evolution. This allows us to distinguish between different stages of component development, which provides more insight into the emergence of stable component configurations, or dominant designs. We validate our hypotheses in the biotechnology industry by using patent data from the USPTO from 1976 to 2003.

    Original languageEnglish
    Article numbere0197024
    Number of pages27
    JournalPLoS ONE
    Volume13
    Issue number5
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 1 May 2018

    Keywords

    • Biotechnology/trends
    • Ecology/trends
    • Empirical Research
    • Humans
    • Models, Statistical
    • Research Report

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